Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +20 (121-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Hudson * | 39 | 7-16 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 36 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Peeler | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kendall Gill | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Marc Jackson | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Igor Rakocevic | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Gary Trent | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Loren Woods | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuttino Mobley * | 41 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 40 | 12-15 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 19 | - |
| James Posey * | 39 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 31 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Maurice Taylor | 27 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Terence Morris | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kelvin Cato | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Juaquin Hawkins | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Collier | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter