Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -52 (66-118). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wallace * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 31 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 26 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Mehmet Okur | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Chucky Atkins | 21 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jon Barry | 16 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 10 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Hubert Davis | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Pepe Sanchez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 31 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 29 | 1-15 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -7 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 24 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vin Baker | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kedrick Brown | 19 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Grant Long | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tony Delk | 13 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Bruno Sundov | 9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
* = starter