Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (96-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 38 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jumaine Jones | 24 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner | 20 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Chris Mihm | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Milt Palacio | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Stewart | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Robinson * | 39 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dan Dickau | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Corey Benjamin | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter