Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +24 (95-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Scottie Pippen * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 28 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jeff McInnis | 21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ruben Patterson | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire | 20 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Arvydas Sabonis | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Qyntel Woods | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Dudley | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Malone * | 36 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 30 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| John Stockton * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 13 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Amaechi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter