Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -9 (90-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 45 | 15-29 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 18 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 39 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 29 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 38 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Robert Horry | 29 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Devean George | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Brian Shaw | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mark Madsen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Slava Medvedenko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Marbury * | 44 | 12-21 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 23 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 42 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 41 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 35 | 1-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Randy Brown | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter