Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +5 (113-108). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 42 | 6-18 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 26 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jumaine Jones | 29 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner | 15 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chris Mihm | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Milt Palacio | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Stewart | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tyrone Hill | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Miller * | 41 | 8-22 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 38 | 7-18 | 2-5 | 15-18 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 33 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 31 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Pat Burke | 15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Steven Hunter | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jeryl Sasser | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Humphrey | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter