Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (82-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrell Sprewell * | 43 | 11-25 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 5 | - |
| Allan Houston * | 41 | 7-20 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | -1 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 39 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 36 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon | 32 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Charlie Ward | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 40 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Travis Best * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Mike James | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter