Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +21 (104-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Peterson * | 36 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 22 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Voshon Lenard | 31 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Rafer Alston | 23 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Michael Bradley | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jelani McCoy | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Zendon Hamilton | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Wesley * | 39 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 36 | 3-16 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 34 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 21 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Courtney Alexander | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Robert Traylor | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jerome Moiso | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Stacey Augmon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Randy Livingston | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| George Lynch | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter