Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -10 (92-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Malone * | 41 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| John Stockton * | 27 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 32 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peja Stojakovic * | 46 | 9-20 | 5-10 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 24 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 41 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 38 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chris Webber * | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Keon Clark | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jim Jackson | 14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 14 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Scot Pollard | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Wallace | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Damon Jones | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter