Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +6 (98-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 38 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 37 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Chris Whitney | 24 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Rodney White | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Mark Blount | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Anderson * | 40 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Scottie Pippen * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Arvydas Sabonis | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Ruben Patterson | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jeff McInnis | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Qyntel Woods | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Antonio Daniels | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Dudley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter