Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -27 (81-108). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Iverson * | 40 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 37 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 32 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Aaron McKie * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| John Salmons | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Coleman | 21 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Efthimios Rentzias | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tim Thomas | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Ollie | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Toni Kukoc | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Haislip | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Sampson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter