Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +3 (86-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 44 | 10-31 | 0-6 | 10-12 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 13 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 35 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Grant Long * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 31 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Vin Baker | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kedrick Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wallace * | 40 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 33 | 5-17 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 30 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 5-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Chucky Atkins | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Mehmet Okur | 17 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jon Barry | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter