Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -26 (66-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 38 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Lucious Harris * | 33 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 26 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tamar Slay | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Armstrong | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 42 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chris Whitney | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Mark Blount | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Rodney White | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter