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Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% - โœ—
Margin 37.6% 62.4% - โœ—
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 44.1% 55.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% - โœ—

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -15 (93-108). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray Allen * 39 7-17 2-6 6-6 8 6 1 0 3 22 17 -
Anthony Mason * 37 3-6 0-0 0-0 8 5 0 1 6 6 8 -
Sam Cassell * 37 11-20 3-6 0-0 4 10 3 1 4 25 19 -
Michael Redd * 34 8-14 6-8 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 22 13 -
Ervin Johnson * 25 3-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 0 8 13 -
Toni Kukoc 28 3-8 2-6 2-2 6 3 0 0 3 10 8 -
Dan Gadzuric 16 4-6 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 0 10 11 -
Kevin Ollie 16 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 5 6 -
Marcus Haislip 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jamal Sampson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Mashburn * 47 8-20 2-7 6-7 7 6 0 1 1 24 17 -
David Wesley * 43 7-19 3-7 3-4 1 1 4 0 1 20 6 -
Jamaal Magloire * 30 0-6 0-0 7-8 5 2 1 1 3 7 7 -
Robert Pack * 30 7-11 0-0 1-1 5 4 3 0 3 15 13 -
P.J. Brown * 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 1 -
Elden Campbell 19 3-7 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 2 1 7 8 -
Robert Traylor 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 0 1 6 10 -
Stacey Augmon 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 2 -
George Lynch 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Randy Livingston 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter