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Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 55.5% 44.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 71.3% 28.7% - โœ—
Margin 49.6% 50.4% - โœ“
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 63.4% 36.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 63.4% 36.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.1% 49.9% - โœ—

Actual: New York Knicks +8 (106-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 45 2-12 0-2 3-4 1 4 0 0 1 7 -1 -
Stephon Marbury * 43 12-28 1-5 6-9 3 9 4 0 0 31 19 -
Shawn Marion * 43 9-23 2-7 4-5 11 3 2 1 2 24 16 -
Amar'e Stoudemire * 26 1-6 0-0 1-4 6 0 0 1 2 3 2 -
Scott Williams * 18 6-9 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 1 14 13 -
Casey Jacobsen 27 5-9 3-7 1-4 4 2 0 0 1 14 10 -
Bo Outlaw 22 1-3 0-0 3-3 14 2 1 1 2 5 18 -
Randy Brown 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jake Voskuhl 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Alton Ford 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allan Houston * 42 5-14 3-5 3-3 4 2 0 0 2 16 6 -
Othella Harrington * 41 5-10 0-0 1-2 12 2 0 0 1 11 14 -
Latrell Sprewell * 37 12-24 1-5 3-3 3 7 0 0 0 28 14 -
Kurt Thomas * 37 13-22 0-0 2-3 17 0 1 1 1 28 24 -
Howard Eisley * 32 4-9 2-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 4 10 4 -
Charlie Ward 15 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 4 2 0 1 3 7 -
Shandon Anderson 12 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 2 -
Michael Doleac 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
Clar. Weatherspoon 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Lee Nailon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter