Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -7 (93-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonzi Wells * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Scottie Pippen * | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 31 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Ruben Patterson | 28 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeff McInnis | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Arvydas Sabonis | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Antonio Daniels | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 41 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 38 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nick Van Exel | 33 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz | 31 | 8-11 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Adrian Griffin | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Walt Williams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter