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Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 55.1% 44.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 70.8% 29.2% - โœ—
Margin 54.4% 45.6% - โœ—
Pythagorean 61.8% 38.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 74.0% 26.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.8% 43.2% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Bulls +2 (100-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Steve Francis * 44 9-26 1-4 7-9 8 5 2 0 7 26 8 -
James Posey * 42 4-7 0-2 5-6 3 0 1 0 1 13 9 -
Cuttino Mobley * 41 6-11 1-2 6-8 2 4 0 0 1 19 13 -
Ming Yao * 31 6-9 0-0 2-3 8 2 0 0 0 14 15 -
Maurice Taylor * 15 2-9 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 4 -2 -
Eddie Griffin 29 4-9 0-3 2-5 8 0 0 0 2 10 7 -
Kelvin Cato 19 2-3 0-0 3-3 9 1 0 1 3 7 12 -
Moochie Norris 9 2-3 0-0 1-4 1 1 2 0 0 5 6 -
Terence Morris 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jalen Rose * 39 9-23 0-4 11-11 7 5 2 0 4 29 16 -
Donyell Marshall * 32 8-16 0-1 1-1 10 0 3 2 1 17 15 -
Trenton Hassell * 28 3-6 0-1 0-0 8 2 0 0 1 6 9 -
Tyson Chandler * 21 2-7 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 1 3 6 5 -
Jamal Crawford * 19 3-7 2-3 0-0 1 3 1 1 0 8 7 -
Rick Brunson 28 3-6 1-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 7 6 -
Marcus Fizer 20 6-12 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 12 3 -
Eddie Robinson 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Eddy Curry 11 3-5 0-0 3-4 1 2 0 0 1 9 6 -
Corie Blount 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
Fred Hoiberg 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter