Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +8 (91-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeryl Sasser * | 46 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 40 | 2-18 | 1-8 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 32 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 26 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Humphrey | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Pat Burke | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 44 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 36 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 38 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kedrick Brown | 20 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 18 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Vin Baker | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Grant Long | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter