Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -12 (83-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 41 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 40 | 9-15 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 40 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 38 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jerome James * | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kenny Anderson | 18 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Calvin Booth | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ansu Sesay | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 38 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 21 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shane Battier | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Brevin Knight | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Earl Watson | 26 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Mike Batiste | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Cezary Trybanski | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter