Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -8 (89-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Garnett * | 38 | 7-19 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 30 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak | 28 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Troy Hudson | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Peeler | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marc Jackson | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Gary Trent | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 42 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Michael Jordan * | 40 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 39 | 8-17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Etan Thomas | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Tyronn Lue | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kwame Brown | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter