Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +32 (108-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wallace * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 24 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mehmet Okur | 29 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 24 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Jon Barry | 20 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Chucky Atkins | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 12 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Hubert Davis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pepe Sanchez | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 31 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 30 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 29 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 25 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Danny Ferry | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 17 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Mengke Bateer | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Willis | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter