Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +13 (88-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 37 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 37 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 13 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rodney White | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| John Crotty | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 38 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 38 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 36 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 35 | 11-16 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Toni Kukoc | 29 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Ollie | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Haislip | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamal Sampson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter