Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -6 (91-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Iverson * | 45 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 41 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 37 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Aaron McKie * | 33 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Coleman | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Greg Buckner | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| John Salmons | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Todd MacCulloch | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 9-20 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 40 | 9-18 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Travis Best * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mike James | 30 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis | 19 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Eddie House | 13 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter