Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +13 (108-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Malone * | 37 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| John Stockton * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 14 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| John Amaechi | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 42 | 11-21 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 39 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 34 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Adonal Foyle | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Bob Sura | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Earl Boykins | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter