Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -1 (101-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Robinson * | 46 | 11-25 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 42 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 42 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Corey Benjamin | 31 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dan Dickau | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 44 | 6-19 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 34 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jumaine Jones | 38 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner | 26 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Chris Mihm | 20 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Milt Palacio | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter