Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -3 (107-110). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Marbury * | 43 | 11-26 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 42 | 12-24 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 41 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Randy Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Scott Williams | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Miller * | 45 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 44 | 12-23 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 24 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 41 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jeryl Sasser | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steven Hunter | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Pat Burke | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter