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Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 61.2% 38.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.1% 15.9% - โœ“
Margin 64.7% 35.3% - โœ“
Pythagorean 63.8% 36.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.7% 34.3% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks -11 (90-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Michael Finley * 38 8-17 2-6 2-2 3 9 2 0 0 20 17 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 37 9-20 2-4 10-11 9 2 3 0 1 30 23 -
Steve Nash * 29 0-9 0-3 4-5 3 5 2 0 2 4 3 -
Shawn Bradley * 23 2-2 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 1 2 7 8 -
Raja Bell * 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Nick Van Exel 32 6-14 5-9 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 17 6 -
Raef LaFrentz 30 3-4 0-0 3-5 6 1 0 0 1 9 11 -
Adrian Griffin 20 5-8 0-0 1-2 4 3 1 0 0 11 11 -
Antoine Rigaudeau 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Walt Williams 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Allan Houston * 41 5-15 3-8 1-1 2 0 0 0 3 14 -2 -
Latrell Sprewell * 37 8-17 2-6 3-3 2 4 2 0 3 21 9 -
Othella Harrington * 26 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 6 7 -
Howard Eisley * 26 6-12 2-5 0-0 5 8 1 2 2 14 16 -
Kurt Thomas * 23 8-14 0-0 1-1 12 3 0 0 2 17 16 -
Clar. Weatherspoon 30 4-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 8 8 -
Charlie Ward 21 0-6 0-6 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 0 0 -
Shandon Anderson 16 3-5 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 8 4 -
Michael Doleac 15 0-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter