Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -24 (74-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wallace * | 41 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 30 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 34 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 32 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 28 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Mehmet Okur | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Chucky Atkins | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jon Barry | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Pepe Sanchez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Hubert Davis | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 39 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| James Posey * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 37 | 5-17 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Taylor * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Terence Morris | 29 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kelvin Cato | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Collier | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Juaquin Hawkins | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter