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Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 57.8% 42.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 62.9% 37.1% - โœ—
Margin 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—
Pythagorean 60.2% 39.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 68.3% 31.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Bulls +7 (104-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jerry Stackhouse * 44 7-19 0-3 9-11 7 10 1 1 2 23 21 -
Larry Hughes * 42 5-14 0-3 1-3 4 1 3 1 3 11 3 -
Michael Jordan * 39 4-14 0-0 3-4 5 3 1 1 1 11 6 -
Christian Laettner * 36 9-17 0-2 3-3 10 3 0 2 1 21 18 -
Brendan Haywood * 27 4-9 0-0 1-4 9 0 0 1 1 9 9 -
Tyronn Lue 23 4-7 2-4 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 12 11 -
Kwame Brown 21 2-5 0-0 6-8 3 0 0 2 0 10 10 -
Charles Oakley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Bobby Simmons 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jalen Rose * 43 4-19 0-4 3-3 5 9 1 3 3 11 7 -
Donyell Marshall * 34 6-8 1-1 3-4 13 3 0 0 0 16 24 -
Trenton Hassell * 23 1-5 1-1 1-2 2 3 0 2 0 4 6 -
Jamal Crawford * 19 5-8 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 11 6 -
Tyson Chandler * 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 1 6 4 -
Rick Brunson 29 4-6 0-1 2-2 3 10 1 0 2 10 16 -
Eddie Robinson 24 7-10 1-2 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 15 15 -
Marcus Fizer 20 8-13 0-0 2-5 4 2 0 0 1 18 10 -
Corie Blount 15 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 1 1 7 8 -
Eddy Curry 6 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Fred Hoiberg 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 3 -

* = starter