๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2003-01-24 ยท Final/OT

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 59.9% 40.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.4% 37.6% - โœ“
Margin 44.8% 55.2% - โœ—
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -1 (96-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Bonzi Wells * 44 7-19 1-5 1-2 6 1 2 0 2 16 4 -
Derek Anderson * 41 10-19 3-6 4-4 2 5 0 1 1 27 15 -
Scottie Pippen * 36 2-13 1-6 2-2 1 4 3 0 3 7 -1 -
Dale Davis * 35 2-5 0-0 1-2 13 3 2 0 1 5 17 -
Zach Randolph * 32 6-14 0-0 3-3 10 1 2 0 0 15 14 -
Ruben Patterson 24 1-5 0-1 4-4 1 2 1 0 0 6 5 -
Arvydas Sabonis 22 2-8 0-0 6-8 9 2 0 0 2 10 11 -
Jeff McInnis 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 6 5 -
Antonio Daniels 11 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 5 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
David Wesley * 48 11-18 2-3 4-6 4 2 1 0 3 28 14 -
Jamaal Magloire * 39 5-8 0-0 3-3 10 1 1 3 0 13 20 -
P.J. Brown * 36 5-9 0-0 8-8 9 2 0 2 1 18 21 -
Baron Davis * 25 4-12 2-3 0-0 2 7 0 1 3 10 5 -
Jamal Mashburn * 24 2-8 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -4 -
Robert Pack 27 1-6 0-1 4-4 2 8 1 0 1 6 10 -
George Lynch 24 5-10 1-5 0-1 5 0 1 0 0 11 7 -
Elden Campbell 19 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 1 1 4 11 -
Stacey Augmon 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 1 2 4 -
Robert Traylor 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 0 3 -

* = starter