Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +19 (77-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 43 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 28 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 20 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Mark Blount | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| John Crotty | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rodney White | 18 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 41 | 16-27 | 4-7 | 9-10 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 30 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 37 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 29 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tony Battie | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kedrick Brown | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Grant Long | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tony Delk | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bruno Sundov | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter