Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -6 (98-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Bibby * | 39 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Chris Webber * | 38 | 12-27 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 31 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jim Jackson | 23 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Keon Clark | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 40 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 40 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 37 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 32 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Shane Battier | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Brevin Knight | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mike Batiste | 11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Earl Watson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Cezary Trybanski | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter