Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -5 (93-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 38 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 32 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 34 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 9-11 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Shane Battier | 27 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Earl Watson | 14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Brevin Knight | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Mike Batiste | 13 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Cezary Trybanski | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 40 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 40 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 14-19 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 43 | - |
| David Robinson * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 29 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Malik Rose | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Danny Ferry | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Willis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter