Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +3 (94-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Rose * | 43 | 8-19 | 3-3 | 9-10 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Fizer | 24 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Rick Brunson | 20 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Robinson | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Corie Blount | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eddy Curry | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 42 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 9-16 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 35 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 22 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jeryl Sasser | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Pat Burke | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter