Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +5 (96-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 40 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 37 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 29 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jerome James * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Desmond Mason | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Anderson | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 14 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Garnett * | 38 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak | 29 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Troy Hudson | 26 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Peeler | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gary Trent | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Marc Jackson | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter