Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -4 (110-114). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 43 | 10-20 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 28 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Adonal Foyle | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Bob Sura | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Earl Boykins | 23 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Fisher * | 41 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 39 | 9-17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 13-20 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Robert Horry | 29 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Devean George | 22 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kareem Rush | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Tracy Murray | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter