Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +3 (101-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Williams * | 44 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 35 | 6-19 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 35 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Rafer Alston | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter | 19 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jelani McCoy | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Damone Brown | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 42 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 25 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Erick Strickland | 29 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Al Harrington | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter