Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -9 (97-106). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 39 | 13-23 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 26 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Michael Redd | 36 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Toni Kukoc | 29 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Ollie | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jason Caffey | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 44 | 10-24 | 1-6 | 9-9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 14 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 39 | 5-12 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kedrick Brown * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 34 | 8-17 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Tony Delk | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tony Battie | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Grant Long | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter