Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -9 (94-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeryl Sasser * | 45 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 43 | 11-23 | 2-5 | 11-12 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 28 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 38 | 7-21 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 34 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 21 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Pat Burke | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Steven Hunter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 42 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 33 | 15-28 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 23 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner | 31 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Jumaine Jones | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Milt Palacio | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Chris Mihm | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter