Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -12 (87-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonzi Wells * | 35 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Scottie Pippen * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Arvydas Sabonis | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jeff McInnis | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Daniels | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ruben Patterson | 15 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Qyntel Woods | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 42 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 40 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 38 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Brevin Knight | 22 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Person | 17 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 17 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Mike Batiste | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter