Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +15 (89-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 42 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 30 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Rodney White | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| John Crotty | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Mark Blount | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jordan * | 41 | 11-22 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 37 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Etan Thomas | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Tyronn Lue | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kwame Brown | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Juan Dixon | 17 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Simmons | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter