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Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 55.4% 44.6% - โœ“
Margin 41.1% 58.9% - โœ—
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 50.9% 49.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 50.8% 49.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -1 (99-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Antoine Walker * 45 12-24 6-11 3-4 6 4 0 0 1 33 18 -
Paul Pierce * 45 13-26 1-5 13-18 7 6 4 1 6 40 26 -
J.R. Bremer * 35 3-9 2-5 2-2 5 5 2 0 0 10 13 -
Vin Baker * 25 2-4 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 2 1 6 11 -
Eric Williams * 22 1-5 1-2 2-4 3 2 0 0 0 5 5 -
Walter McCarty 25 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 3 0 0 3 9 -
Kedrick Brown 20 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
Shammond Williams 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 0 -2 -
Grant Long 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Allen Iverson * 43 12-22 0-2 5-6 2 4 5 0 2 29 16 -
Eric Snow * 38 2-9 1-1 12-12 6 6 1 0 5 17 16 -
Aaron McKie * 31 4-10 2-3 0-0 9 6 0 0 2 10 13 -
Derrick Coleman * 26 5-7 0-1 0-0 8 1 0 2 1 10 13 -
Keith Van Horn * 26 4-12 0-2 3-4 5 0 0 1 1 11 4 -
Kenny Thomas 26 4-7 0-0 0-1 9 1 0 1 1 8 11 -
Greg Buckner 23 2-3 0-0 5-5 3 0 1 0 1 9 9 -
Brian Skinner 18 1-4 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 2 1 5 8 -
John Salmons 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter