Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +7 (72-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 44 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 38 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Travis Best * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Mike James | 22 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrell Sprewell * | 45 | 8-19 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Allan Houston * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Charlie Ward | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Travis Knight | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter