Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +8 (89-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Peterson * | 41 | 4-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 41 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Voshon Lenard | 27 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Rafer Alston | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Art Long | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Garnett * | 38 | 8-19 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Troy Hudson | 26 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Peeler | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Gary Trent | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marc Jackson | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter