Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -22 (80-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Bibby * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Chris Webber * | 34 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jim Jackson | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Keon Clark | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Damon Jones | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Wallace | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mateen Cleaves | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lawrence Funderburke | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Murphy * | 39 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 36 | 10-24 | 2-10 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 18 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Earl Boykins | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Adonal Foyle | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Bob Sura | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jiri Welsch | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter