Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +10 (88-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Miller * | 43 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 41 | 4-20 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -3 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 41 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 35 | 10-13 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Al Harrington | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Erick Strickland | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wallace * | 43 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 29 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 39 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 26 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Chucky Atkins | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mehmet Okur | 12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jon Barry | 11 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Hubert Davis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter