Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +12 (114-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 46 | 10-24 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 45 | 6-21 | 1-6 | 9-11 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alton Ford | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Randy Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 45 | 7-20 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| David Wesley * | 43 | 9-16 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 34 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 32 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Robert Pack | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Elden Campbell | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Robert Traylor | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Stacey Augmon | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| George Lynch | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter