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Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Margin 38.9% 61.1% - โœ—
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -13 (102-115). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jalen Rose * 43 15-21 7-10 0-3 4 5 0 0 2 37 23 -
Trenton Hassell * 24 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 6 4 -
Tyson Chandler * 23 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
Jamal Crawford * 23 2-10 0-3 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Donyell Marshall * 21 2-10 0-1 3-4 13 2 0 2 1 7 13 -
Marcus Fizer 27 10-19 0-0 4-4 10 1 1 1 1 24 17 -
Rick Brunson 24 5-7 2-2 0-2 0 7 3 0 0 12 15 -
Eddie Robinson 24 1-2 0-0 3-4 5 5 2 0 1 5 14 -
Corie Blount 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 3 -
Eddy Curry 7 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Fred Hoiberg 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Glenn Robinson * 41 6-16 2-3 6-7 8 2 1 0 4 20 11 -
Jason Terry * 38 9-17 3-8 2-2 3 7 0 0 3 23 13 -
Shareef Abdur-Rahim * 38 8-15 1-1 10-13 5 3 1 1 2 27 20 -
Ira Newble * 33 4-6 1-2 1-1 5 2 2 1 3 10 11 -
Theo Ratliff * 33 1-3 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 1 3 8 -
Dan Dickau 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 5 0 0 2 6 8 -
Nazr Mohammed 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
Alan Henderson 13 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Darvin Ham 10 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -

* = starter