Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -8 (93-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 46 | 14-31 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 23 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 45 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 31 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jeryl Sasser * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 33 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Pat Burke | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Peterson * | 44 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 7-12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 39 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 37 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Damone Brown * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter | 27 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Jelani McCoy | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Rafer Alston | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Art Long | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter