Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +4 (85-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 44 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 43 | 6-17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nick Van Exel | 35 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz | 32 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Raja Bell | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Walt Williams | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Antoine Rigaudeau | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 39 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 39 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 36 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Ansu Sesay * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jerome James * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak | 36 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Kenny Anderson | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Desmond Mason | 28 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter